Do UN peace operations lead to more terrorism? Repertoires of rebel violence and third-party interventions
نویسندگان
چکیده
Recent research suggests that UN peacekeeping operations (PKOs) reduce conventional violence. However, rebel groups have been increasingly using a combination of and non-conventional violence, for example, terrorism. Little is known about whether under which conditions PKOs shape rebels’ incentives to resort more At the same time, existing on use terrorism in civil wars primarily focuses domestic factors, thus overlooking impact external shocks such as deployment PKOs. We argue can critical unintended consequences inducing tactical adaptation violence they alter government-rebels balance power. Particularly, are militarily strong prior arrival incentivized escalate terrorist overcome physical barrier imposed by PKO forces improve their bargaining position vis-à-vis government. Weaker groups, absence likely terrorism, not only limited capacity but also fewer when deploy. Leveraging new disaggregated data attacks during wars, we provide first global actor-level analysis relationship between deployments changes preferences find that, conditional initial power relations, make weapon strong. Our study sheds light effects peacekeeping, causes offers important policy implications several current deployed midst
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: European Journal of International Relations
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['1460-3713', '1354-0661']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/13540661211072714